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1.
Faculty /Study Program
: MIPA/Mathematics Education
2.
Subject & Code
: Probability Theory, MAA 317
3.
The number of SKS
: Theory : 2 sks  Practice : 1 sks
4.
Semester and Duration
: IV, Duration : 100 minutes
5.
Based Competency
: To understand Bayes theorem
6.
Achievement Indicator
:
a Student can explain Bayes theorem
b)  Student can solve probability problem related to Bayes theorem
7.  Material                                          : Bayes theorem
8.  Lecture Activity                             : 5
  

Step
Component
Activity
Duration
Method
Media
References
Introduction
Explain briefly the conditional probability
20'
Discussion    and
Exercise
LCD, white/black
board
A: 1-30
B: 25-54
Main
Activities
1. Explain Bayes theorem
2. Do exercise and discuss the
Results
60'
Closing
Activity
Conclude the entire materials and
give tasks
10'
Further
Activities
Invite the students to ask or give an
opinion about the materials
10'

11. Evaluation
The evaluation is performed based on the student activities in discussion, doing exercise.

12. Reference
A.  Bain, Lee J. & Engelhardt, Max. 1992. Introduction to Probability and Mathematical
Statistics. Belmont: Duxbury Press.
B.  Ross, Sheldon M. 1998. A First Course in Probability. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.

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