1.
Faculty /Study Program
: MIPA/Mathematics Education
2.
Subject & Code
: Probability Theory, MAA 317
3.
The number of SKS
: Theory : 2 sks  Practice : 1 sks
4.
Semester and Duration
: IV, Duration : 100 minutes
5.
Based Competency
: To understand conditional expectation
6.
Achievement Indicator
:
a)   Student can get conditional expectation from probability mass functions
b)  Student can get conditional expectation from probability density functions
7.  Material                                          : Conditional expectation
8.  Lecture Activity                             : 25

Step
Component
Activity
Duration
Method
Media
References
Introduction
Explain briefly the material
(conditional probability)
20
Discussio and
Exercise
LCD, white/black board
A: 171-188
B: 309-372
Main
Activities
1. Explain    conditiona expectation
from probability mass functions
2. Explain    conditiona expectation from probability density functionc
3. Do exercise and discuss the results
60’
Closing
Activity
Conclude the entire materials and
give tasks
10’
Further
Activities
Invite the students to ask or give an
opinion about the materials
10’

9. Evaluation
The evaluation is performed based on the student activities in discussion, doing exercise.

10. References
A.  Bain, Lee J. & Engelhardt, Max. 1992. Introduction to Probability and Mathematical
Statistics. Belmont: Duxbury Press.

B.  Ross, Sheldon M. 1998. A First Course in Probability. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.

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